WHY THE CENTRAL POWERS LOST THE
FIRST WORLD WAR
By mid 1918, the Allies were winning battles; the Central Powers were
losing them.
The Allies were gaining ground in the Middle East, the Balkans and
the Western Front. The Central Powers were retreating on all sides.
Even though the German Army was still on French soil and in surprisingly
good order, it was only a matter of time before they would be pushed
back into Germany.
The Allied generals had learned valuable tactical lessons from the
first three years of the war and put them into practice.
The Allied command structure was unified under Marshal Foch in spring
1918.
Tanks, aircraft, artillery and infantry
were integrated into coordinated plans with achievable objectives.
The Allies had won the battles of technology, supply and manpower.
The Allies had built over 4000 tanks, the Germans just 20. The Allies
had sufficient artillery and manpower on the Western Front to be able
to launch a succession of attacks on the German line without having
to move and re-group resources each time. The Germans had a manpower
shortage: they had guns in France without gun crews to fire them.
The Central Powers were militarily,
politically and economically weaker than the larger Allied coalition
they faced.
As the Allies grew stronger, Germany's alliances were crumbling. By
March 1918, Austria-Hungary was on the verge of bankruptcy and famine
- on one occasion, it was even forced to steal a grain barge bound
for Germany as it sailed up the Danube. Germany itself was being starved
of food and all goods as a result of the British Navy's blockade of
her ports in the north. German troops were poorly equipped and most
available supplies were sent to the war effort leaving the people
of Germany very short of food. Many on both fighting and home fronts
had grown tired of the war; they wanted peace, food and democracy.
Turkey was asking for an armistice by September 1918. When Ludendorff
learned that Bulgaria had also requested an armistice he had a fit.
Germany could not fight on alone against the Allies.
The entry of the United States into the war made ultimate Allied victory
certain.
America's contribution to the Allies' success was not particularly
the result of anything it did on the battlefield, but rather was the
threat of its vast potential. The United States was larger than Germany
in terms of both population and industrial output. Thus the United
States, particularly when combined with the British Empire and France,
had the potential to overwhelm the German army. The one constraint
was time. The German high command had gambled that their U-boat campaign
could knock Britain out of the war. When that campaign failed, it
was clear that time was on the side of the allies. In 1917, the United
States army was miniscule - smaller than that of Belgium. It would
take time to train and equip millions of soldiers. Similarly, it would
take time to shuttle them across the Atlantic Ocean. In practice,
American forces did not begin to fight in significant numbers until
the summer of 1918, and even by the end of the war only one in ten
of the Allied front line soldiers was American.
The failure of the Ludendorff offensives.
During the Ludendorff offensives the Germans killed a lot of allied
soldiers, but they lost more men than the allies. The failure of the
offensives drained the already depleted German resources, and the
prospect of endless supplies of American men, money and munitions
flooding into Europe completely obliterated all hopes of a German
victory.
By autumn 1918 Germany's commanders knew they couldn't hope to win.
After years of keeping the politicians in the dark, the military leaders
gave them the job of suing for peace.